LIVEFull-depth Polymarket Up or Down order books for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, BNB and Dogecoin, with the Chainlink price each market settles on.
Major speeches are distributed to press in advance under embargo — the State of the Union, central bank testimony, keynote addresses — and 'as prepared for delivery' text circulates among credentialed journalists before a word is spoken. Where that text is legitimately available, a mention market is not a prediction at all; it is a text search. The edge is knowing which events publish prepared remarks and which are improvised, where the base rate is all you have.
Markets on Polymarket where prepared-remarks embargo copy is the natural play: