Specialist#022

Election-Night Live Trading

On election night you trade the race live as results come in, using your own county-level model that knows the expected vote share and reporting order for each area. When early returns look scary or rosy, you judge whether Polymarket is over- or under-reacting given which places have actually reported. The edge is interpreting partial returns faster and more accurately than the panicking crowd, which requires acting in seconds via a pre-built decision tree.

What you need to run it

County-level model with expected vote shares and reporting order
Real-time scraping of AP/NYT/Decision Desk results
Pre-built decision tree so you can act in seconds, not minutes

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where election-night live trading is the natural play:

Will Republicans win the 2026 Georgia Senate race?
Will Democrats hold the House in the 2026 midterms?
Will Republicans win the 2026 Pennsylvania governorship?

Capabilities this demands

Data ingestionModel / quantLow latency

At a glance

CategorySpecialist

Requirements3

CapabilitiesData ingestion, Model / quant, Low latency

VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

Related specialist strategies

This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the full strategy database (297 strategies) or the data feeds directory.